Something's Gotta Give: Labour's leadership contest has become an exercise in political tectonics: the slow build-up and sudden release of massive and competing political energies.
NEW ZEALAND’s MAIN POLITICAL FAULT
LINE doesn’t run between National and Labour, it separates the Nominal Left from
the Real Left. Only very occasionally does this struggle within the Left produce
a genuine rift between the major parties. Most of the time, and on most of the
important issues, Government and Opposition maintain a bipartisan consensus.
Were this not the case, it is doubtful whether our democratic institutions
could survive the resulting earthquakes.
But even the strongest consensus will
be weakened by events large enough to undermine the public’s faith in its core
assumptions. The Great Depression, for example, or, more recently, the Global
Financial Crisis (GFC), gave rise to widespread fears that the economic system,
upon which we all depend, had been fatally compromised.
Inchoate and confused though they
may be (just think of the “Tea Party” and “Occupy” movements in the USA) the
popular demand that “something must be done” renders the consensus-based
politics of more settled times untenable.
This is precisely what’s been
happening in New Zealand since the onset of the GFC in 2008-09.
Between 1999–2008 the Labour-led
Government of Helen Clark and her National Party Opposition were able to
preserve a pretty broad consensus on the big economic and social issues. The
market-led policies introduced by the Fourth Labour Government during the 1980s
and entrenched by National in the 1990s remained firmly in place. Labour made
no effort to restore Jenny Shipley’s swingeing benefit cuts.
Labour’s loss of the 2008 General
Election and the departure of Helen Clark put an end to all that. Among the
party’s rank-and-file and its trade union affiliates there was a growing
clamour for Labour to acknowledge that the market-based policies of the past 25
years had failed and that it was time to return to the labour movement’s core
principles for answers to the burgeoning economic and social crises of the
Twenty-First Century’s second decade.
Within Labour’s caucus, however,
there was a profound unwillingness to step outside the quarter-century
consensus it had forged with National. So long as that consensus endured it was
possible for Labour MPs to go on believing that modern politics, stripped of all
its distracting rhetoric, was still mostly about the orderly rotation of
political elites.
For politicians like Phil Goff and
David Shearer, the job of a Labour leader was simply to assemble a credible
alternative government: a group of competent, professional politicians ready to
take over the efficient running of the country when the incumbents, exhausted
by the demands of office, were no longer able to muster the required level of
electoral support.
Theirs was a purely nominal
leftism: rhetorical, formulaic and reliant on a faded symbolism which very few
professional Labour politicians any longer took seriously. Like Helen Clark
before them, Messer’s Goff and Shearer and their nominal leftist colleagues
were alarmed by the party’s insistence on infusing Labour’s message with
genuine left-wing ideas. The last time the party had done that was under the
leadership of Norman Kirk – and that had not ended well.
People often wonder why David
Cunliffe is so disliked by so many of his colleagues. The answer lies in Mr
Cunliffe’s realisation that the GFC and its aftermath requires a comprehensive
rethink of Labour’s entire approach to contemporary politics.
It’s a position that obliges Labour
MPs to become genuine leftists. It’s why Mr Cunliffe’s colleagues have gone to
such lengths to prevent him becoming the Leader of the Labour Party. It also
explains the rank-and-file’s steely determination to change the rules governing
the Leader’s election.
Labour’s “primary” election is,
therefore, much more than a contest between three Labour MPs for leadership of
the party. This is political tectonics: the slow build-up and sudden release of
massive and competing political energies. Either Mr Cunliffe and the
irresistible forces of Labour’s Real Left will be lifted up to victory and radical
change. Or, he and his followers will be driven down deep by the Nominal Left’s
immovable objects.
This essay was originally
published in The Dominion Post, The
Waikato Times, The Taranaki Daily
News, The Timaru Herald, The Otago Daily Times and The Greymouth Star of Friday, 30 August
2013.