Progressive Populism: Barack Obama's promise of collective empowerment was crucial to his 2008 election victory. On 4 December he signalled that combatting economic inequality would be the motivating theme of the Democratic Party's 2014 bid to reclaim control of the House of Representatives. If our own David Cunliffe was wise he would make the fight against inequality similarly central to Labour's 2014 election campaign.
2014 IS NOT ONLY an election year in New Zealand, it is also
the year of the “mid-term” elections in the United States. In both countries
the debate between Left and Right will be focus on rising economic inequality and
what, if anything, should be done to reduce it.
Speaking to a meeting of the Centre for American Progress in
Washington DC on 4 December, President Barack Obama described economic
inequality as “the defining challenge of our time” – immediately touching off a
spirited debate, not only between liberals and conservatives, but between the
moderate and radical wings of his own Democratic Party.
The rhetorical struggle on the American Left, will be over
whether or not the term “economic populism” is presented as being a good thing
or a bad thing. The Democratic Senator for Massachusetts, Elizabeth Warren, has
seized the initiative by boldly laying claim to the progressive legacy of
American populism – a tradition enthusiastically endorsed by the Nobel-Prize-winning
economist, Paul Krugman, who ended a recent New
York Times blog posting with the words: “go populism go.”
The debate in New Zealand has yet to reach this level of
noisy excitement, but within the Labour Party a similar struggle between
moderates and radicals is underway.
At the Party’s annual conference, held in Christchurch in
early November, the impetus towards economic populism was readily apparent.
Ordinary branch members and the party’s trade union affiliates, fresh from
their triumph in the leadership primary, were keen to rally Labour’s
traditional support-base around a populist banner.
Significantly, their calls for a rethink of Labour’s policy
of raising the age of eligibility for NZ Superannuation to 67, and for Labour
to distance itself from the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (both of which
fall squarely under the rubric of economic populism) were finessed away by
party bosses behind-the-scenes.
The biggest stumbling blocks to a campaign based on economic
populism are Labour’s economic spokesperson, David Parker, and its trade
spokesperson, Phil Goff. Both of these senior Opposition politicians believe
that if Labour is to win the 2014 General Election, then it must present a
moderate and responsible face to both the electorate and (perhaps more
importantly) to the country’s opinion leaders.
Both men subscribe to the view that elections are won or
lost in the middle-ground of politics, where men and women of moderate opinions
congregate. Without the endorsement of these moderate voters, runs the
argument, a change of government will not happen.
At work here is a powerful sub-text in which political
moderation is conflated with the middle-class. If only by implication, the
Right associates economic populism (which it regards as a form of extremism)
with politicians purporting to speak for working-class voters and
beneficiaries.
And this produces another, more sinister, twist to the idea
of the “Moderate Middle”. In both the USA and New Zealand, the non-white
population is strongly over-represented among low-paid workers and
beneficiaries. It does not, therefore,
take much to persuade the mostly white middle-class voters of either country
that economic populist policies designed to uplift Blacks and Latinos, Maori
and Pasifika, can only be implemented at their expense.
The unacknowledged racism inherent in the strategy of
appealing to the “Moderate Middle” forced Barack Obama, the Democratic party’s
first black presidential candidate, to pursue a strategy of going around the
white middle-class and mobilising those Americans least likely to participate
in the electoral process: young people and poor people.
The extraordinary power of his campaign rhetoric in 2008 –
his famous “Yes We Can” slogan – was designed to persuade those alienated and
marginalised citizens who habitually dismissed politics as having nothing in it
for them that – this time – they could make a difference.
And once they were “in” the electoral process, the
Democratic Party’s extraordinary political machine made sure that they remained
accessible to President Obama’s appeal for a second term. The Democrats ability
to identify and mobilise an unusually large proportion of their 2008 vote was a
crucial factor in Barack Obama’s defeat of Mitt Romney in 2012.
And now the President’s party is preparing to mobilise those
same voters by presenting the 2014 mid-term elections as an opportunity to
strike a blow for economic equality by helping “progressive populist” Democrats
reclaim the House of Representatives from the far-right “Tea Party”
Republicans.
If Labour is to retake New Zealand’s House of
Representatives it needs to learn from the Democratic Party’s example. A
strategy based on competing for the support of the Pakeha middle-class will do nothing
to mobilise the 750,000 mostly young and poor voters who sat out the 2011
General Election.
Only an unashamedly populist campaign that declares “Yes we
can eliminate economic inequality in New Zealand!” offers Labour the slightest
hope of convincing the young and the poor that by casting a vote in 2014 they,
too, can make a difference.
This essay was
originally published in The Press of
Tuesday, 24 December 2013.
I'm not sure that Obama was forced into his economic position. He seems to be firmly in the "new Labour" camp. Even allowing for the fact that the Republicans in Congress have been shamefully uncooperative, he has basically done nothing for the poor. Less in fact IMO than Lyndon Johnson. If I could vote in the U.S. I would be agitating for Warren is the next president, without a doubt she has more intellectual depth than just about anybody in politics today.
ReplyDelete"The biggest stumbling blocks to a campaign based on economic populism are Labour’s economic spokesperson, David Parker, and its trade spokesperson, Phil Goff. Both of these senior Opposition politicians believe that if Labour is to win the 2014 General Election, then it must present a moderate and responsible face to both the electorate and (perhaps more importantly) to the country’s opinion leaders."
ReplyDeleteIf that is what Phil and David think then god help New Zealand. We need a bold Labour Party. A party that is concerned for all the people in New Zealand not one that is frightened of the middle class or the Countries' "opinion leaders". They, if what you mean is the journalists of New Zealand's newspapers, have always been against us and the Labour Party has always had to deal with them. David and Phil need to get a spine.
And if Labour was really concerned about jobs they would lower the retirement age and not provide superannuation to those who continue to work and take jobs from those younger than them.
As the first person to mention Elizabeth Warren on this website (just after the 2012 election), do I get a chocolate fish for the New Year?
ReplyDeleteWarren won't get the nomination probably though. It'll go to Clinton, who has certainly improved since she pulled her head in and got down to some work, and is certainly a damned sight brainier than her husband, but still very "new Labour". Warren isn't that left by world standards but not bad by American :-).
ReplyDeleteMy impression is that Warren won't run if Hillary is a candidate for nomination.
ReplyDeleteBut I'm not convinced Hillary will run as she'll be even older than Reagan when first entering the oval office.
I must confess, Hillary is being coy about the whole thing. I think she still judging her chances. And I don't think age would stop her, let's face it women live longer than men :-).
ReplyDelete
ReplyDeleteThe New York mayoral election is a further sign that the Liberal(in the US sense of the word) tide is rising in urban America.
Yes, as you point out in one of your other recent blogs, most active voters will already have decided who they will vote for. Both Labour and the Greens have to target those who didn't vote last time.
ReplyDelete