Monday 5 June 2023

134 Days Out.

Take Me Home: Bowalley Road, North Otago. The long gravel road after which Chris Trotter’s blog is named. Near the road’s end is the farm where he spent the first nine years of his life.

ONE OF THE JOYS of blogging is the instant feedback you get. Certainly, there are the trolls who strive to disrupt your blog’s community of readers, but they are easily dealt with. More than anything else, a troll wants to register the damage he (it’s almost always a he) works so hard to inflict. Decline to post his deathless prose, however, and there is nothing for him to register. Like the proverbial tree falling unheard in the forest, he makes no sound. This enforced inadequacy generally persuades the trolls to bugger-off.

From the community of your blog’s civilised readers, however, flows a never-ending stream of comments. Some terse and pithy, some that go on-and-on until the blog’s software intervenes – cutting them off in full-flight. From these comments, an attentive blogger is able to glean a reasonably accurate impression of the blog readership’s mood. Irrespective of where those commenting place themselves on the ideological spectrum, their ideas and grievances are what, collectively, constitute the zeitgeist.

Challenged to sum up the mood of this moment, 134 days out from the General Election, I would have to say: “disillusionment”. Unlike the feeling that gripped the nation 134 days out from the 2020 election: that giddy pride at how well we had been led, and how stoically we had come through the frightening Valley of the Shadow of Covid; New Zealanders are feeling disgruntled, discouraged and disappointed by what passes for political leadership in 2023.

Everything that happened after the 2020 Jacindafest, the uncovering of so many clay feet, has made a great many of us feel like chumps. The Prime Minister turned out not to be a saint – not when there was the devil of a pandemic deficit to pay. Then New Zealanders proved with fire and fury that they were very far from being a united team of five million. After the scenes in Parliament Grounds, we began to look at each other sideways, uncertain as to whether our fellow citizens were friends or foes.

Most of all, we fell out of love with our leaders – especially Jacinda Ardern. Her successor, Chris “Chippy” Hipkins, seems like a nice enough bloke, but we cannot overlook the fact that he was right there, in the thick of it, when Labour veered off the rails. Not that the National Party’s Christopher Luxon offers much by way of improvement. If it looks like a corporation man, talks like a corporation man, and spouts clichés like a corporation man, then, chances are, it’s the Leader of the Opposition.

Like The Who, New Zealanders are getting down on their knees and praying “We don’t get fooled again.” In fact, we are determined not to.

And in that determination lies our vulnerability. What those commenting on my own and other blogs reflect, apart from their disillusionment, is a profound and corrosive cynicism. But, that’s not all. Alongside their bitter refusal to go on believing in politicians or their politics, far too many commentators display a dangerously naïve willingness to believe wholeheartedly every vicious and outlandish charge levelled against them. Is there anything more dangerous than this bizarre combination of cynicism and credulity?

The general mood of disillusionment is hardly surprising, however, when, in addition to our politicians not working as intended, neither does anything else. New Zealand seems to be on a trajectory which will take it from the First World to some place considerably less comfortable. The country that was once feted internationally for the success of its national institutions and the obvious well-being of its people, is slowly but unmistakeably sliding down the international tables of achievement.

Back in 2005, the American singer-songwriter James McMurtry released “We Can’t Make It Here” – hailed by one critic as the best song of the 2000s. It describes the slow decay of American competence and coherence, and the corresponding loss of faith by working-class Americans in their country’s future. I think about that song more and more in 2023, as our health and education systems creak and groan, and potholes multiply in the nation’s highways.

And it occurs to me that I may have been too quick to consign the trolls to the outer darkness of the blogosphere. Maybe – just maybe – their reading of the situation, singed though it undoubtedly is with fire and fury, actually comes closest to the truth.


This essay was originally published in The Otago Daily Times and The Greymouth Star of Friday, 2 June 2023.

20 comments:

  1. Does this mean that Chris has finally realised that NZ's experiment with student politicians with very little life experience apart from politics is a recipe for disaster.

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  2. I'll be voting ACT as Party Vote and for my local National guy but...

    ... I must admit that I also have very little confidence that it will make much difference.

    Believe it or not I have voted Labour a few times in my life, at first merely negatively because of Muldoon and then positively because of Douglas and then again for Clark/Cullen because Shipley's outfit was a shit show and the former were not Anderton extremists harking back to a lost past.

    But even by the standards of Shipley '98-'99 (I'm too young to remember Kirk's outfit) this has been the most useless, incompetent government in my lifetime. In some respects I'm grateful because they're so useless they've not been able to implement most of the nonsense they've spouted.

    But what they have done is spent vast quantities of money to little or no effect, which seems to have surprised even them. I'd thought the whole "Nine Long Years of Neglect" was just propaganda and an election slogan, but it seems they really believed their own BS; just pump the billions in an Health, Education and the rest of the State would take off and do good things.

    And that's where the real concern comes in. I did not agree with that strategy b ut I figured it would work, at least crudely. That it hasn't is what leads to my .. cynicism????... about National/ACT going forward. How can you govern when your tools of government are so useless? And for all the screaming by Bradbury about how Nat/ACT will gut the system, I see nothing particularly drastic even from ACT; four relatively small Ministries eliminated? Come on! And that's even assuming National would permit it. Some weeks ago Wayne Mapp turned up on Kiwiblog to dismiss the idea of firing hundreds, let alone thousands of bureaucrats; "too disruptive" he claimed.

    So aside from more competent management (perhaps, and how far can that go) little will change.

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  3. Excellent column. Yes I fear greatly for my country as I witness the collapse of services and infrastructure all around. I have never seen incompetence on such a scale in my life, and I have lived in Africa, the Middle East, North America and Russia. The destruction of this country's institutions and moral fibre has been breathtaking and extremely disheartening. We desperately need a circuit breaker and for that reason like many I know I'm supporting Act this election.

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  4. BTW - if you want disillusionment, read this substack piece from a reporter who kicked his career off in Hong Kong just as the Tiananmen Square protests started:
    I keep seeing accounts of Chinese people who have no idea what happened twenty years ago. They’ve never even heard of it, or if they have, don’t know whether to believe the “rumors”. The “bad guys” won. They got away with murder and lived on to continue to rule by oppression. It shouldn’t be that way, and yet it is. The demonstrations haven’t changed a thing.

    And his comparison of that to the Waco massacre:
    I’ve been back in the States now for nearly ten years, and here’s what has changed: I used to be very righteous in my condemnation of the Chinese government and, even more so, of the Chinese culture that seemed to accept tyranny so willingly. It’s a lot harder for me to dredge up that righteousness now.

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  5. Yes, we have got to an election where the most motivated voters are landlords seeking to regain their taxation privileges and power over tenants.

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  6. If I knew how to hyperlink I would post a link to my talkback calls on half-price public transport hop card bus fares.Just like I did on Tumeke.Bomber said who are you and why are you so impertinent.Sum-such and guerilla surgeon called me out on the payment card suggestion for no booze or smokes on welfare but the manager of remuera lodge believes we all need our little luxuries in life.I told Manesh in lochiel road dairy to vote for wayne brown but should have told him to vote for free public transport with efeso collins.Tim beveridge on newstalk zb said people shouldn't vote from the hip-pocket but half price transport has made a real difference for thousands of commuters.

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  7. There was an unnatural visceral hatred of Ardern, some but not all of which seems to have been transferred to Hipkins if I read the news sites and blogosphere correctly. In spite of conservative protestations some of it was pure misogyny, manifesting itself when we were all inconvenienced – to say the least – by the lockdowns and so on.
    Many of these people will not be persuaded. Someone made the point on MSN that we came out of the pandemic better than most countries, and provided mortality statistics to prove it. It made no dent, not only in the opinion of Ardern, but in the thinking about the pandemic. When you're dealing with this level – this Trumpian level – of obstinacy, you're pissing into the wind.
    And this isn't just a New Zealand phenomenon. Either the misogyny or the general cynicism about politicians. People in the flyover states of the US feel abandoned, people in the North of England feel abandoned, people all over New Zealand seem to feel abandoned.
    And yet they happily voted for those who abandoned them – generally conservative grifters like Johnson and Trump. Both slimy populists who in Trump's case at least, discovered the lowest common denominator of people's beliefs and allow them free rein to express it in word and deed. To be fair, Johnson also played on the British liking for a "bit of a lad".
    But pretty much every female prime minister/president lately has been the target of online misogyny. I think I've said this before but oh for the time when fringe nutcases used to have to run off their idiocy on a Banda machine and spend their own money on stamps to get it out to the few people that sympathised with them.

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  8. A depressing but seemingly honest assessment of where we find ourselves at. Seems we are caught between a rock and a hard place this October

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  9. What struck me as I waited for the 75 bus in remuera to go to newmarket was the number of at auckland metro buses carrying private school kids to school on school only buses.

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  10. There was an unnatural visceral hatred of Ardern, some but not all of which seems to have been transferred to Hipkins if I read the news sites and blogosphere correctly. In spite of conservative protestations some of it was pure misogyny, manifesting itself when we were all inconvenienced – to say the least – by the lockdowns and so on.
    Many of these people will not be persuaded. Someone made the point on MSN that we came out of the pandemic better than most countries, and provided mortality statistics to prove it. It made no dent, not only in the opinion of Ardern, but in the thinking about the pandemic. When you're dealing with this level – this Trumpian level – of obstinacy, you're pissing into the wind.
    And this isn't just a New Zealand phenomenon. Either the misogyny or the general cynicism about politicians. People in the flyover states of the US feel abandoned, people in the North of England feel abandoned, people all over New Zealand seem to feel abandoned.
    And yet they happily voted for those who abandoned them – generally conservative grifters like Johnson and Trump. Both slimy populists who in Trump's case at least, discovered the lowest common denominator of people's beliefs and allow them free rein to express it in word and deed. To be fair, Johnson also played on the British liking for a "bit of a lad".
    But pretty much every female prime minister/president lately has been the target of online misogyny. I think I've said this before but oh for the time when fringe nutcases used to have to run off their idiocy on a Banda machine and spend their own money on stamps to get it out to the few people that sympathised with them.

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  11. I also read Paul Kingsnorth's essay this week 'The West Must Die' which contains similar themes to Chris's article. Paul's site is called The Abbey of Misrule.

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  12. Two points Chris.

    L, and many many others, do not subscribe to your opinion on the covid issue but as that is not the point of this post I will ignore it other than to say, watch this space.

    As for disillusionment, I never had faith in ardern's or labour's ability to do much. I doubted from day one their grandiose plans would ever come to fruition, not because I'm a cynic but I was well aware that they were quite cynical about their elctioneering never expecting to be called upon to actually deliver.

    Many chide Winston for choosing labour, as do I, but he also gave us the opportunity to see clearly that the modern labour party cares not for those who faithfully supported them over many long years but only those "in the club" and enough of the rest to get or keep them in power. This is something that will take the labour party many years in opposition to understand and then they will relise that "9 long years of neglect" is preferred by the voter to 6 years of absolute incompetence and division.

    Many have posted over the years, mainly in the media, about ardern's "great kindness" As far as I am concerned her only true "kindness" was to run away when she did which confused the media enough to allow a glimmer of hope to arrive in New Zealand.

    In my opinion 😎

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    Replies
    1. On the contrary, Ardern was almost certain to become Prime Minister in 2017, given that Winston was clearly willing to join Labour after the disappointment of 2014.

      Hell, Winston was even talking g openly about the flaws of the capitalist system in 2017, which few if any Labour candidates dared to do!

      The 2017 was highly predictable.

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  13. With revelations that have come out in recent times about things in UK and USA, it seems that many of the "conspiracy" theories had more than a grain of truth to them. Why should NZ be any different? This is especially so when the Government is both gaslighting over issues like crime & education (or lack thereof) and going full steam ahead on the "disinformation" project, even if it is mainly aimed at malinformation. I don't know whether the role model for those in power is 1984 or Life of Brian.
    With the lack of credibility in the political leaders, is it any wonder people are cynical? Does one know what any of the parties stand for, expressed as a coherent policy written in plain English? Something longer than a soundbite? One is left with the overwhelming sense that politicians are the new version of Lange's reef fish. It doesn't help that most people in Parliament have had no significant experience in life outside politics.
    The proles/ non-elites/ provincial NZers can see the parties aren't interested in their wellbeing, only using them as a means to power, to be disregarded and discarded after the succession. In situations like these, it is easy for a populist "leader" to come forth, especially one with an authoritarian streak. And the worrying thing is they would attract a lot of support. The elections in Italy and the Netherlands show the dis-satisfaction is out there. It wouldn't take much to make it sinister.

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  14. In time, voters will realize that, mostly, Ardern was truly kind, and this counts for something. They will miss her sense of warmth and positivity in dealing with issues of profound sorrow or intractable conflict, however unfair and divided our society remains.

    There is one person currently who will inherit this particular charisma, this sensibility, this much longed for political style, and yet offer a more detailed, serious engagement with policy. I am destined to never vote for this person, but her name is Nicola Willis.

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  15. "With revelations that have come out in recent times about things in UK and USA, it seems that many of the "conspiracy" theories had more than a grain of truth to them."

    No they didn't.

    'That which is asserted without evidence can be dismissed without evidence. 'Hitchens' razor.

    The rest of it I sort of agree with. We don't have too many extant populists though, Winston excepted.

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  16. "That which is asserted without evidence can be dismissed without evidence"
    You mean like Russiagate, Hunter Biden's laptop, Covid vaccine efficacy and safety, Efficacy of masks, Great Barrington Declaration, Lee Harvey Oswald as a CIA asset, Social media suppression of contrary views and shadow banning. You can also add the anti-free speech government backed groups being set up to attack malinformation. Looks like Hitchens is growing a beard.
    You must live in a very blinkered silo GS, or are the Twitter Files part of the conspiracy theories as well?

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  17. Guerilla Surgeon said...

    There was an unnatural visceral hatred of Ardern,
    ....
    She is the one who just came back from the Moon landing
    She is the one who just received the Oscar
    She is the one who wrote the book that forms the basis of a successful society
    She is the one who pulled the sword from the stone.

    That's the Ardern myth. She is the progressive who takes the Deplorables with her (a sort of Pied Piper). In fact it was all in a bubble.
    Covid worked for her because she was the nation's nurse matron.
    She made criminals of people who (for whatever reason) weren't convinced about Covid treatment.
    She acted like the step father on a low income who buys a boat, a new house and takes the family to Australia.
    And life goes on but life is full of trade-offs.
    In Moving House the boyfriend follows a bungalow from Remuera. It finishes up on a hill "the view, the view. I would not get sick of that view and there's a lot of good snapper to be had in that harbour". Meanwhile modular houses made in Vietnam are being assembled in Northcote at $550,000 to $950,000.
    They are [displacing] us.

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  18. "You mean like Russiagate, Hunter Biden's laptop, Covid vaccine efficacy and safety, Efficacy of masks, Great Barrington Declaration, Lee Harvey Oswald as a CIA asset, Social media suppression of contrary views and shadow banning. You can also add the anti-free speech government backed groups being set up to attack malinformation."

    Yeah, pretty much all of those.

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  19. Those things I mentioned originally came forward with evidence but not that comprehensive details which have now emerged. I could have added Covid coming from a lab leak. They were dismissed as conspiracy theories like you GS as they weren't the government line and didn't fit the narrative.
    Now the truth comes out, gas lighting occurs, and history gets rewritten.
    That is why the public at large is so cynical and disbelieving of anything. They aren't thick. They just don't like being lied to. Why they voted for Trump. They didn't necessarily like or even want him, but if the media and elites were against him, that means he was worth supporting.
    Brexit was an entirely different situation. The European Commission was an authoritarian technocracy that rode roughshod over democracy. It is hated over Europe. Ask the French Yellow Jackets, the Dutch farmers or the Poles. Despite the best efforts of Remainers, the UK is better off now than it would have been if it stayed.

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