Unaffordable? Labour supporters should brace themselves for a National Party-driven social media campaign built around the slogan: “At $2.40 a litre, we can’t afford Jacinda.” Re-cycled though this catch-phrase may be, for Kiwis on low incomes paying far too much for gas it’s likely to have a catchy ring to it. (And anyone on the Labour team thinking about telling these folk to “go electric” should, perhaps, recall the effect on the breadless masses of the thoughtless suggestion that they should consider eating cake!)
“AT A DOLLAR a gallon we can’t afford Rowling.” Given his
latest media release (8/10/18)
“Government Pricing Kiwis Out Of Their Cars”, someone’s obviously been
schooling up young Simon Bridges on the way Rob Muldoon smashed Labour in 1975.
[Bill Rowling, for all you millennials out there, was the
Labour Prime Minister of New Zealand from September 1974 until December 1975,
and a gallon (4.5 litres) was the unit of measure at the petrol pump. So, yes,
you’re right, the motorists of 1975 paid roughly a tenth of what we pay today
to fill up our tanks! – C.T.]
But even back when petrol was only a dollar a gallon, Kiwi
motorists were hurting. Ever since the Yom Kippur War of October 1973, during
which Egypt and Syria came within an ace of destroying the State of Israel, the
price of oil had soared. Saudi Arabia and the other Arab oil-exporters had
imposed an embargo on the USA and its allies for resupplying the Israelis with
arms and ammunition. The resulting price-hikes delivered a stunning blow to the
Western economy. The so-called “Oil Shocks” of 1973-79 marked the end of the
Great Post-War Boom. Almost overnight, New Zealanders – along with just about
everyone else in the Western World – lost confidence in the future. Even worse,
they began casting about for someone to blame.
Hence, the National Party’s propaganda blaming soaring oil
prices on Bill Rowling. Of course, anybody who had been following current
affairs over the previous two years knew perfectly well that National was
peddling what today we would call “fake news”. But, those weren’t the people
Muldoon was after. The voters he was seeking to enlist alongside National’s
habitual supporters were the disoriented, frustrated and just flat-out angry
working-class Kiwis who were struggling to work out what had all-of-a-sudden
gone wrong with their world.
Like the former Democratic Party supporters backing Trump in
2016, these bewildered Labour voters found it increasingly difficult to
identify with “their” party. Labour was supposed to stand for “the working man”
and his values, but now, following the tragic death of that quintessential
working-class battler, “Big Norm” Kirk in August 1974, the party was led by a
training-college lecturer. What’s more, he and his colleagues were advancing
policies which seemed to have more in common with the demands of the
long-haired hippies and protesters in the streets than they did with the
“ordinary Kiwi joker” and his concerns. Not the least of these being the
soaring price of petrol.
Muldoon and his campaign advisers were only too aware of the
culture war that was brewing in the Labour Party and they couldn’t wait to
exploit it.
Over the course of the 1960s and 70s, Labour’s membership
had dwindled. The party branches were peopled predominantly by people who may
have been young and radical in the 1930s and 40s but who were now very settled
in their ways – and views – which tended towards the socially conservative.
Many Labour stalwarts were Roman Catholics, Baptists and Salvation Army
members. They bitterly resented the small but active groups of liberals and
radicals who had begun drifting into Labour from 1969 onwards. They were seen
as middle-class carpet-baggers without the slightest idea of what it meant to
be a working-class Kiwi.
These were the people for whom National’s election slogan,
“New Zealand the way YOU want it”, was created. The people who had begun
to feel neglected, misunderstood and even a little bit despised by the people
at the top of the Labour Party – and their intellectual friends. Some of the
more prominent of these had banded together in the group called “Citizens for
Rowling”. In the ears of a great many Kiwis, that sounded a lot more like
“Citizens Against Muldoon”.
It was a huge strategic error on the part of Labour’s
hifalutin supporters. Instead of turning people against the pugnacious National
leader, it drew them towards him. Just as liberal America’s hatred of Trump
only served to entrench his support among aggrieved Americans without college
degrees or six-figure salaries, Labour’s near-obsession with Rob Muldoon proved
to be one of the key factors in the growth of “Rob’s Mob”. This was the
peculiar assemblage of “ordinary blokes and blokesses” for whom Muldoon felt
more like a Labour leader than the thoroughly decent but doggedly uninspiring
Rowling.
Forty years on, Labour supporters should brace themselves
for a National Party-driven social media campaign built around the slogan: “At
$2.40 a litre, we can’t afford Jacinda.” Second-hand though it may be, it’s
bound to acquire some measure of political purchase. How could it not when, for
Kiwis on low incomes, $2.40 a litre for gas is just one more burden for them to
bear. (And anyone on the Labour team thinking about telling these folk to “go
electric” should, perhaps, recall the effect on the breadless masses of the
thoughtless suggestion that they should consider eating cake!)
National’s big problem is that Simon Bridges is not Rob
Muldoon. Bridges simply does not possess Muldoon’s ability to inspire both
confidence and hope, fear and dread. Nor is Jacinda Ardern even remotely like
Bill Rowling. The latter always came across as the person for whom the saying
“nice guys finish last” was invented. And although stardust was intermittently
available to politicians back in 1975, the historical record makes it very
clear that nobody ever got so much as a speck of it to Bill.
About the only thing Bridges has got going for him is that,
unlike the 1973-79 oil shocks, the steady rise in the price of petrol over the
period 2018-2021 cannot be sheeted home to greedy Arab oil magnates. This time,
a large measure of it is Labour’s own work.
This essay was
originally posted on The Daily Blog
of Tuesday, 9 October 2018.
