Wednesday 17 July 2024

The Enemies Of Sunshine And Space.

Our Houses? The Urban Density debate is a horrible combination of intergenerational avarice and envy, fuelled by the grim certainty that none of the generations coming up after them will ever have it as good as the Boomers. To say that this situation rankles among those born after 1965 is to massively understate their distress. As far as those fated to grow up in the Twenty-First Century are concerned, it is NOT “OK Boomer” – not okay at all.

IT’S A POLITICAL MYSTERY, this alliance between the Left and well-connected property developers. The Right’s covert dealings with commercial greed-heads has for long been a disreputable feature of its brand. The Left, to its credit, still has to work at corruption. Doing the wrong thing doesn’t come naturally … yet. So, what is it that the Left is telling itself as it lines up behind National’s Chris Bishop? What good thing do they believe themselves to be doing?

When this question is put to them, there’s a certain kind of leftist that will reassure you that increasing urban density is the fastest and most effective way of getting homeless people housed. Constructing high-rise apartments along key public transport corridors will provide affordable accommodation to young workers and students – liberating them for the cold, damp, poorly-ventilated and inadequately maintained properties currently providing landlords with a handsome return on their investment.

With a considerably steelier glint in their eye, these same leftists will tell you that the only people steadfastly refusing to see the wisdom of Bishop’s policy are the selfish Baby-Boomers who long ago purchased what were then cheap and nasty old villas, “did them up”, and watched their value skyrocket to dizzying heights.

Some of these Boomers (many of them card-carrying leftists) sold at the top of the market, pocketing huge and tax-free capital gains, which they then invested in a one, two, many rental properties, becoming fully paid-up members of the landlord class. These “investors” aren’t all that keen on urban density. Flooding the rental market with affordable rental accommodation, a policy which could hardly fail to exert an unhelpful downward pressure on their rents, is not what they were expecting.

These are the sort of Boomers who ask themselves the question made famous by the lead characters in the 1980s classic movie “The Big Chill”: “How did revolutionaries like us get to be so rich?”

Then there are the Boomers who’ve spent their lives immersed in the lyrics of Graham Nash’s “Our House”, with its “two cats in the yard”, open fires, and flower arrangements. These Boomers’ do indeed dwell in, “a very, very, very fine house” and they’re not about to let it be caught in the shadow of a six-storey apartment block lacking even one stained-glass window – let alone a decorative finial.

The feelings these Boomers have for property developers (and their little helpers in local government) bear close resemblance to the feelings they once had for supporters of the 1981 Springbok Tour and members of the Society for the Protection of the Unborn Child. As far as they’re concerned, the urban density brigade aren’t leftists, they’re vandals. “Progressives” may deride such people as “Nimby” (Not In My Backyard) naysayers, but in their own eyes they’re heroic defenders of “precious local heritage”.

It’s a horrible combination of intergenerational avarice and envy, fuelled by the grim certainty that none of the generations coming up after them will ever have it as good as the Boomers. To say that this situation rankles among those born after 1965 is to massively understate their distress. As far as those fated to grow up in the Twenty-First Century are concerned, it is NOT “OK Boomer” – not okay at all.

The Devil himself could hardly have devised a scenario more likely to mobilise all seven of the deadly sins. Nor was there any shortage of property investors and developers willing to audition for the roles of Lucifer’s demonic minions. With so much envy and resentment to play upon, all those interested in making outrageous profits had to do was whisper “New Urbanism” in the ears of ambitious Gen-X lobbyists, who would, in turn, pass the concept on to ambitious Millennial politicians who’d never met a Boomer city father whose retreating back did not look better than his aggressive front. “Go to Europe,” they would say, “look at what’s happening there. Ask all these selfish Boomer Nimbys how many Frenchmen and women, how many Germans, live in detached bungalows!”

Wrong question. Frenchmen and women, Germans, and a plethora of other nationalities, live in apartments because only aristocrats, tycoons, and football players get to live in stand-alone dwellings surrounded by lawns and trees. When your population is numbered in the tens-of-millions, it’s difficult to organise your citizens’ accommodation in any other way. But ask those same apartment-dwelling Europeans, Americans and Asians if they would like to live in a stand-alone dwelling surrounded by lawns and trees, and you will elicit a very different response.

If the population of the British Isles was just 5 million, how many of its citizens would prefer to go “up”, as opposed to “out”? Even when the British population numbered in excess of 40 million, those on the left of politics were far more interested in spreading ordinary people out than they were in stacking them up. Indeed, it is strange that the disciples of New Urbanism speak so infrequently about the spacious planned communities of yesteryear. Genuine leftists would be talking a lot less about empowering developers to increase urban density, and a lot more about central and local government designing and building green cities and new towns.

Instead we are invited to accept and grow accustomed to this unholy alliance between right-wing greed-heads and left-wing Boomer-haters. Chris Bishop can make a bonfire of building codes and regulations, and rather than condemn his neoliberal recklessness, Labour and Green politicians turn up with additional jerry-cans of gasoline. Architects and construction firms warn that the Housing Minister’s policies will produce nothing but slums, crime and mental illness. The Left has nothing to say.

It really is remarkable. Housing New Zealand, after six years of fits and starts, finally hits its stride and builds thousands of new state houses annually. What happens? The new Coalition Government commissions a dodgy dossier damning Housing New Zealand, and uses it to justify an abrupt shutting-off of affordable housing supply – just as it was surging. In its place Bishop issues a slumlords’ charter. To the windfall tax-cuts his government has already delivered to the landlord class (which includes two-thirds of New Zealand’s parliamentarians) he now adds every conceivable incentive for the greedy and the tasteless to do their worst.

Bishop has staked his career on collapsing the price of houses and opening the way for the younger generation to reclaim the dream of home ownership. One can only imagine the response of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the big Aussie mortgage-holders if this promise is fulfilled. The international credit-rating agencies have already warned the Coalition Government that a collapse in house prices would set the entire New Zealand economy on fire. What will those who insist that Bishop is onto a winning strategy say then?

How painful it must be for genuine socialists to witness the political heirs of the left-wing politicians who designed, funded and built thousands of very, very, very fine houses, having so little to say about the deliberate re-creation of the oppressive “urban density” from which so many of poor New Zealanders, with their government’s assistance, broke free in the 1930s and 40s. How sad that so many on the Left, which used to be about sunshine and space, are throwing in their lot with those who see no profit in either commodity.


This essay was originally posted on The Democracy Project substack on Monday, 8 July 2024.

10 comments:

John Hurley said...

Good point in the last paragraph, it's not much of a national story and you can blame it all on globalists who see openness as a greater moral value than maximizing host-nation living standards.

Kumara Republic said...

In any case, "f*** off, we're full!" no longer cuts it with housing policy. The problem lies mainly with those who had the dumb luck to buy a generation earlier, only to pull the ladder up behind them, become the new landed gentry, and make a mockery of why their ancestors left Britain to begin with.

And ICYMI, Bernard Hickey describes NZ's economy as "a housing market with bits tacked on" and "too big to fail". Anything that's too big to fail is simply too big, and needs breaking up. It's easy-ish enough when dealing with a single monopoly like the former Telecom, but with a monopolised yet fragmented housing market, it's a lot fiddler, short of using the likes of Kainga Ora to undercut it.

Also, this article from that famous socialist rag, the Financial Times:

The Anglosphere needs to learn to love apartment living, John Burn-Murdoch
https://archive.is/2ue9q

Little Keith said...

Well, someone had to do something. We have, like most Western nations, a horrendous housing problem both supply and affordability. Deregulate some of the well meaning but hopelessly thought out regulations and fix supply and we should see the affordability side addressed.

We hoped Labour would. But Phil Twyford was beyond useless and Megan, well, a bit better but again, pretty talentless. And the Greens? No, they were far too obsessed with culture wars, Hamas support, eliminating small business from the face of Wellington with bicycles and pronouns to tell their arses from their elbows. The progressive left kind of failed us. Like with everything.

Idiotic woke progressive dogma sez, thou shall not green field build. Hence the rash of intense housing over the past few years in suburbia. But... not in the well heeled progressive heartlands of Grey Lynn, Ponsonby, Devonport etc! Oh no. Not for us who tell you how fast you can drive and how you must become vegan! So green fields it is, as well as urban intensification.

If nothing else, National have learnt from the past, housing is a vote loser when you don't do anything.
Maybe they even care?

The Ghettos you speak of have been and are been constructed by Kainga Ora. There are already private ones too. But as sure as God makes little green apples, people need a place to live.

And ever so ironically, the progressive left, who of course care far more about everything way more than those not woke, failed miserably. And it was left to an ex tobacco salesman to be the adult!

mikesh said...

"The international credit-rating agencies have already warned the Coalition Government that a collapse in house prices would set the entire New Zealand economy on fire."

Perhaps I'm being cynical, but what else would one expecgt them to say when the banks have so much atg stake in housing.

new view said...

I have a couple of issues with Chris's analysis of the housing situation. firstly you can't compare the price of housing now in Auckland to what it was in say 1980 because there was a lot more room, and since then Auckland has grown by a million people. Now there is not the room, demand is higher so, including state housing, the housing stock is becoming less affordable simply through finite land being used up. Thats why planners are now stacking.
This idea that Boomers were lucky to buy cheap and are now selling at huge profits at the expense of the next generations is IMO nonsense. Sure, many have made good profits but where do these houses go. Boomers are getting older many have bought renters to increase their wealth but in many cases those houses go to their children, and if they don't the money that comes from them( or whats left of it) eventually does. The new owners of housing that are older people, and have the resources at present, will eventually sell those homes and if the younger generations over all don't have the finances those house prices will come down in comparison to wages. Wealthy overseas buyers should not be allowed to buy up the stock. Whether it be a left or right government that should be prevented by law and costs us nothing except their wealth, that more than likely stays in their families. We are soon to come out of a particularly difficult time for those with mortgages and those trying to get into their first homes. I believe this time next year the situation will be improving. This government has got inflation down already despite the reckless spending of the previous Labour Coalition. With inflation under control and the costs of building homes being targeted there may some relief coming for those trying to get into the housing market.

Little Keith said...

I'll go further. Solve the not so difficult riddle that is housing affordability, and that is as simple as economics 101, supply at least equals demand, and lower prices, and this country is destined for a very very bright future.

There is nothing more attractive in life than being able to own your own home and with that, your future! We will be very attractive to people who seek brighter futures rather than losing the same people to Aussie!

Kumara Republic said...

PS. Those who don't hold NZ citizenship or permanent residency should either be barred from purchasing existing homes, or otherwise be pinged with a sizeable stamp duty.

Kumara Republic said...

Latest Ipsos survey:

https://auckland.scoop.co.nz/2024/07/generational-divide-on-meritocracy-and-inequality-among-new-zealanders/

John Hurley said...

Anonymous Little Keith said...
I'll go further. Solve the not so difficult riddle that is housing affordability, and that is as simple as economics 101, supply at least equals demand, and lower prices, and this country is destined for a very very bright future.
.....................
Classic [thinks The Pigs - Animal Farm]
NZ is now beyond saving, we were the Falkland Islands (who have twice the GDP/capita of the UK), then Labour decided we needed people from Asia to "ethnicise" us ("diversity is of great benefit") and because NZr's are "a deeply racist people" [Helen Clark]. National discovered there was money in them there Harcourts Shanghai. Now we are Argentina.
It beats me what Jacinda Ardern was (always) smiling about, it must have been "New Zealand"? There are many "New Zealands" (or lived realities), but only a few have access to some sort of voice. The waffling Wallies at Ko tu (not Sir Peter - he comes across as caring and sensible) are noting that people mess up their census forms (because they recognise the reality of protest and it's limits).
Imagine the outlook for many people in this country. Half of us are smarter than the other half. In order to satisfy the people who build houses and tow big boats down the road, they create a lot of low paid service jobs and boxes to live in that future generations will never escape from. Why? Because NZ needs skills (as though they were nucleur rods). No one says out loud that the transfer of funds the skill brings is more important than the skill (some interviewer needs to ask Paul The Voice Spoonley that question). Duncan Garner did ask Spoonley if citizenship meant anything anymore.
Those complaining about wrong thought on social media are correct in so far as it is about technology. Technologies have concentrated power and influence amongst a group of vested interests. Social media wrong think is a response to that.

Harry said...

"The Left, to its credit, still has to work at corruption. Doing the wrong thing doesn’t come naturally … yet."

The enthusiasm for all aspects of covid tyranny by most of the left suggests to me that doing the wrong thing, at least in that case, came quite naturally. Wokeism and cancel culture also came from the left, if I am not mistaken.