YES! Australians cheer the result of the postal plebiscite on Marriage Equality. This emphatic victory for social liberalism (61.6/38.4 percent) will hit conservative Australians hard. Liberal and National Party strategists may, however, attempt to exploit the fact that of the 17 federal electorates that voted "No", 11 are held by the Labor Party. Progressive Australians have won an important battle - but the culture war will go on.
WEDNESDAY, 15 NOVEMBER 2017 will go down in Australian
history as Marriage Equality Day. In an unprecedented national plebiscite, 61.6
percent of the 79.5 percent of voting-age Australians who returned their postal
ballots voted YES to marriage equality. With this resounding vote in favour,
Australia joined the rest of the world’s progressive nations in rejecting
homophobia and discrimination.
But, Wednesday, 15 November 2017 will be remembered for
something more than Australia’s endorsement of marriage equality. It will also
be recorded by social historians and psephologists as the day conservative
Australians were required to accept a forceful and irrefutable message
confirming their minority status in Australian society.
Hostility towards homosexuality is one of the most reliable
markers of the authoritarian personality. It will, therefore, come as a
profound shock to people of this personality type that their attitudes are not
shared by an overwhelming majority of the population. That nearly two-thirds of
their fellow citizens see nothing untoward about same sex couples getting
married will deliver a shattering blow to their perception of “normality”. They
will be dismayed by how far the world has strayed from their “traditional
values”.
For some, the events of 15 November 2017 will prompt a
thorough-going reassessment of their moral and political expectations of
themselves and their fellow Australians. If they are lucky, this reassessment
will liberate them from the debilitating effects of conservative ideology,
fundamentalist religious beliefs and authoritarian attitudes. For many others,
perhaps a majority, however, the discovery that their hatreds and prejudices
towards the LGBTI community is shared by just 38.4 percent of their fellow Australians
will evoke a very different – and potentially dangerous – response.
For these conservatives, the plebiscite outcome will be
interpreted as irrefutable proof of how sick and sinful their society has
become. Religious conservatives, in particular, will have no difficulty
accepting their minority status. After all, doesn’t Jesus, in Matthew’s Gospel,
enjoin them to enter in by the strait gate? “[F]or wide is the gate, and broad
is the way, that leadeth to destruction, and many there be which go in thereat”?
And doesn’t he also say that “strait is the gate, and narrow is the way, which
leadeth unto life, and few there be that find it.”
No, the Christian fundamentalists will not be in the least
bit surprised to discover that 61.6 percent of their neighbours are going to
Hell.
Political conservatives and authoritarian personalities will
have a much harder time of it, however. For their brand of politics, 15
November 2017 can only have been a profoundly delegitimating experience.
Electorally, it could very easily signal their imminent marginalisation.
“Mainstream” politicians will now have to adjust to the fact that social
liberalism, which they understood to be confined to the effete inhabitants of
the inner-cities, is actually embraced by a much more extensive cross-section
of the Australian population. For many, on both sides of the parliamentary
aisle, it will rapidly become advisable to evince a more progressive and
tolerant political persona.
For the diehards, however, it is not yet the time to lay
down their arms and surrender to the bacchanalian throngs gyrating joyously in
the streets of Sydney and Melbourne. They still have eleven cards left to play.
The more sharp-eyed and ruthless members of the Liberal and
National party rooms will have noticed that of the 17 federal electorates which
voted “No” to marriage equality, fully 11 of them are held by the Australian
Labor Party. In the strategically vital “Western Suburbs” of Sydney, the seats
of Greenway, Chifley, McMahon, Fowler, Warriwa, Blaxland, Watson, Barton and
Parramatta – all of them held by Labor MPs – voted “No”. Some, like Greenway,
only very narrowly. (53.6 percent) Others, like Blaxland, by a huge margin.
(73.9 percent!) In socially-liberal (some would say, radical) Melbourne, the only
electorates which rejected marriage equality were the Labor-held seats of
Calwell and Bruce.
There is simply no way the Labor Party can defeat the
Liberal-National Coalition if even a handful of these eleven safe seats slip
from the Opposition’s grasp. And while, in normal times, any suggestion that a
seat like Chifley might be lost to the Liberals would be greeted with
full-strength Aussie derision, it remains an awkward fact that we are not
living in normal times.
Prior to 8 November 2016, the very idea that the states of
Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania might be about to fall to Trump would have
been met with loud American guffaws. But not after 8 November. Lashed and
goaded in just the right way, the normally left-voting inhabitants of places like
Michigan – or Chifley – can end up doing the strangest things.
For progressive Australians, 15 November 2017 will forever
be bathed in all the vibrant colours of the rainbow. But, for the conservative
ideologues, the religious fanatics and the authoritarian personalities trapped
in their suffocating character armour, 15 November 2017 will be registered as
nothing more than a temporary setback. The bigots might concede that, on this
memorable day, they have lost a battle. But, for them, the war against a
society grounded in gentleness, tolerance and love will go on.
This essay has been posted
simultaneously on Bowalley Road and The
Daily Blog of Thursday, 16 November 2017.